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2024-12-13 05:32:21

Shanghai heavy releaseThe securities sector is still the key to tomorrow. Today, it is also high and low. At present, it has not fallen below the offensive line, and the short-term trend remains intact. If it falls again tomorrow, it will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will initially weaken. We should pay attention to short-term risks and control our positions.After the exchange rate rushed to 7.314, it began to fluctuate and weaken. As we have told you many times before, the vicinity of 7.3 is heavily guarded, and the depreciation in this area is almost in place, and there is no room for further sharp depreciation. Some time ago, around 7.3, the market began to get nervous. Instead, we clearly told everyone that this was a good thing, because the direct depreciation was in place, and the subsequent appreciation expectation was formed. From the current situation, it is really difficult for the exchange rate to weaken further. At present, the daily level has entered a short-term adjustment trend, but we should focus on observing whether it can fall below 7.258 this week. Only when it falls below, the medium-term depreciation momentum can be ended, otherwise it will be repeated.


The latest high-level tuningThe General Office of the Shanghai Municipal People's Government issued the Action Plan for Shanghai to Support the Merger and Reorganization of Listed Companies (2025-2027). Among them, it is proposed to strive to land a number of representative M&A cases in key industries by 2027, and cultivate about 10 internationally competitive listed companies in key industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine and new materials, forming a scale of M&A transactions of 300 billion yuan and activating total assets of over 2 trillion yuan.The General Office of the Shanghai Municipal People's Government issued the Action Plan for Shanghai to Support the Merger and Reorganization of Listed Companies (2025-2027). Among them, it is proposed to strive to land a number of representative M&A cases in key industries by 2027, and cultivate about 10 internationally competitive listed companies in key industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine and new materials, forming a scale of M&A transactions of 300 billion yuan and activating total assets of over 2 trillion yuan.


It is not difficult to see from recent speeches and a series of policies that we are still very confident about the target of 5% this year. If it can be successfully completed, it will greatly enhance the confidence of the market. The biggest problem in the current market is not that retail investors don't believe that the market can go well. Even if retail investors do, there is nothing they can do. The key is that institutions don't believe that the market can go well and lack confidence in the future. Otherwise, the market will not go anticlimactic today. If domestic institutions don't continue to smash the market, the market will not go so ugly in the afternoon.It is not difficult to see from recent speeches and a series of policies that we are still very confident about the target of 5% this year. If it can be successfully completed, it will greatly enhance the confidence of the market. The biggest problem in the current market is not that retail investors don't believe that the market can go well. Even if retail investors do, there is nothing they can do. The key is that institutions don't believe that the market can go well and lack confidence in the future. Otherwise, the market will not go anticlimactic today. If domestic institutions don't continue to smash the market, the market will not go so ugly in the afternoon.After the exchange rate rushed to 7.314, it began to fluctuate and weaken. As we have told you many times before, the vicinity of 7.3 is heavily guarded, and the depreciation in this area is almost in place, and there is no room for further sharp depreciation. Some time ago, around 7.3, the market began to get nervous. Instead, we clearly told everyone that this was a good thing, because the direct depreciation was in place, and the subsequent appreciation expectation was formed. From the current situation, it is really difficult for the exchange rate to weaken further. At present, the daily level has entered a short-term adjustment trend, but we should focus on observing whether it can fall below 7.258 this week. Only when it falls below, the medium-term depreciation momentum can be ended, otherwise it will be repeated.

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